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Record W4414320969 · doi:10.1097/ee9.0000000000000419

Within-city spatiotemporal variations in outdoor ultrafine particles and emergency room visits for cardiovascular outcomes

2025· article· en· W4414320969 on OpenAlexaffabout
Scott Weichenthal, Éric Lavigne, Marshall Lloyd, Alessya Venuta, Arman Ganji, Junshi Xu, Milad Saeedi, Shoma Yamanouchi, Ryan Kulka, Marianne Hatzopoulou

Bibliographic record

VenueEnvironmental Epidemiology · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicAir Quality and Health Impacts
Canadian institutionsUniversity of TorontoMcGill UniversityHealth Canada
Fundersnot available
KeywordsUltrafine particleAtherosclerotic cardiovascular diseaseAir pollutionRisk assessment

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Background: Few epidemiological studies have examined the acute cardiovascular health impacts of within-city spatiotemporal variations in outdoor ultrafine particles (UFPs). Methods: We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study of within-city spatiotemporal variations in outdoor UFPs and emergency room visits for cardiovascular outcomes in Toronto, Canada, between 2019 and 2020. Outdoor UFP data (lag-0, 3-day mean, and 7-day mean) were assigned to residential locations using exposure models trained using data collected over a 1 year period (2020–2021). Conditional logistic regression models were used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for outdoor UFP number concentrations (per 10,000/cm 3 ) and mean UFP size (per 5 nm), adjusting for potential time-varying confounders. Effect modification by temperature was also examined. Results: In total, our analysis included 89,694 cases of acute cardiovascular events. Seven-day mean outdoor UFP number concentrations and mean UFP size were most strongly associated with cardiovascular outcomes. Specifically, 7-day mean outdoor UFP number concentrations were associated with increased risks of all cardiovascular events (OR = 1.058, 95% CI = 1.007, 1.111) and ischemic heart disease events (OR = 1.140, 95% CI = 1.020, 1.274). Likewise, 7-day mean outdoor UFP size was associated with increased risks of all cardiovascular events (OR = 1.026, 95% CI = 1.013, 1.039) and ischemic heart disease events (OR = 1.059, 95% CI = 1.029, 1.090). Submultiplicative and subadditive interactions were observed between temperature and both outdoor UFP number concentrations and mean UFP size. Conclusions: Within-city spatiotemporal variations in outdoor UFPs are associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events independent of other common outdoor air pollutants.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.041
Threshold uncertainty score0.680

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.059
GPT teacher head0.343
Teacher spread0.284 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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