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A Novel Lag Window for Spectrum Estimation of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process

2025· article· en· W4414355552 on OpenAlexvenueno aff

Bibliographic record

VenueInternational Journal of Analysis and Applications · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicComplex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsLagKurtosisAutocorrelationSkewnessParameterized complexityFunction (biology)Spectral density estimationWindow (computing)Process (computing)Spectral density

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In order to forecast and process the behavior of noisy data, spectral analysis is a crucial area of study in data analysis and interpretation. The goal of this study is to identify the optimal lag window to estimate the continuous-time Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process’s spectrum. The equivalent difference equation of the OU process was derived, and a consistent estimate of the spectral density function (SDF) was calculated using the most prominent lag window functions in the different parameter cases and time interval segmentation. A parameterized novel lag window (NLW) was proposed. The parameters can be changed to control the kurtosis and skewness of the NLW curve and reduce the influence of the tails of the estimated autocorrelation function on the consistent estimate of the SDF. The simulation results of comparing the SDF and the consistent estimate of the SDF with lag windows showed that the proposed NLW outperformed all other lag windows in estimating the spectrum of the OU process in all parameter cases and in all time-interval segmentation. The promising results of NLW can be used in signal processing and spectral analysis of phenomena subject to the influence of noise.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.937
Threshold uncertainty score0.211

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.013
GPT teacher head0.263
Teacher spread0.250 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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