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Record W4414370686 · doi:10.1101/2025.09.16.25335936

Associations of tumour somatic mutations with cancer-associated venous thromboembolism

2025· preprint· en· W4414370686 on OpenAlexaff
Naomi Cornish, R. Matthew Ward, Matthew T. Warkentin, Chrissie Thirlwell, Andrew Mumford, Sarah K. Westbury, Philip Haycock

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicVenous Thromboembolism Diagnosis and Management
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Calgary
FundersWellcome Trust
KeywordsGermline mutationSomatic cellGermlineMutationEtiologyCancerDiseaseProportional hazards model

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Background Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a common complication of cancer. Complex interactions between tumour biology and the haemostatic system may contribute to development of cancer-associated VTE. Objectives This study examined associations of somatic mutations with VTE in a large multi-cancer cohort. Methods We analysed paired tumour and germline whole genome sequence data and electronic health records from 12,507 cancer patients recruited to the Genomics England National Genomic Research Library, to evaluate associations of somatic mutations across 608 genes, overall tumour mutational burden (TMB) and 25 single base substitution (SBS) mutational signatures with VTE. Interactions between somatic mutations and a germline polygenic risk score for VTE were also assessed. Results In multivariable Cox regressions adjusted for age, sex and genetic ancestry, somatic mutations in four genes associated with higher rates of VTE at a false-discovery rate <0.1: CDKN2A (Hazard ratio, HR=1.62 [95% confidence interval, 1.23-2.13]) , KRAS (HR=1.31 [1.12-1.53]), PCDH15 (HR=1.48 [1.24-1.76]) and TP53 (HR=1.55 [1.38-1.73] ). SBS8, a common mutation signature of unknown aetiology, was also associated with higher rates of VTE (HR=1.39 [1.16-1.66]). In contrast, TMB ≥20 mutations/Mb, two DNA mismatch repair signatures (SBS6 and SBS26) and one rare signature of unknown aetiology (SBS19) associated with lower rates of VTE. Evidence for these associations remained robust after additional adjustment for tumour type, stage, and systemic anti-cancer treatment. Conclusions These findings support the hypothesis that tumour somatic mutations influence risk of VTE. This may provide insights into the pathophysiology of cancer-associated VTE and inform future efforts to improve clinical risk prediction.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.003
Threshold uncertainty score0.008

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.030
GPT teacher head0.312
Teacher spread0.282 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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