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Record W4414451804 · doi:10.1101/2025.09.23.678060

Fine-scale structure of a whole regional population through genetics and genealogies

2025· preprint· en· W4414451804 on OpenAlexfundaboutno aff
Gaëlle Morin, Claudia Moreau, Amadou Barry, Simon Girard

Bibliographic record

VenuebioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicHuman Health and Disease
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersAlliance de recherche numérique du CanadaUniversité du Québec à Chicoutimi
KeywordsKinshipPopulationGenetic structurePopulation geneticsConcordanceFounder effectPopulation structureGenetic genealogy

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT The Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean (SLSJ) region of Quebec, Canada, a population shaped by a prominent founder effect, has long been considered genetically homogeneous. This study comprehensively investigates the fine-scale population structure within SLSJ by integrating genotype data from the CARTaGENE cohort with extensive genealogical records from the BALSAC population register. A time-efficient algorithm was developed to compute billions of kinship coefficients from genealogies in order to analyse an entire generation. We demonstrate a striking concordance between realised (genetic) and expected (genealogical) kinship (r = 0.78). From both kinship measures, we reveal fine-scale population structure at the municipal level within SLSJ, challenging the notion of regional homogeneity. Our analysis highlights an east–west genetic gradient and uncovers migratory streams and differential founders’ genetic contributions that shaped the genetic landscape of this population. This research provides insights into the interplay of genetics, demography, and historical events, underscoring the importance of fine-scale population structure in genetic studies and reaffirming the power of large-scale genealogical data.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.298
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.024
GPT teacher head0.277
Teacher spread0.253 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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