IceCat-2: Updated IceCube Event Catalog of Alert Tracks
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We present preliminary results for IceCat-2, the second public catalog of IceCat Alert Tracks, which plans to build and improve upon the first release, IceCat-1. The initial catalog, last updated in October 2023, included all real-time alerts issued since 2016, as well as events observed by IceCube since the start of full-detector data collection in 2011 that would have triggered an alert if the program had been in place at that time. IceCat-2 plans to expand on this by incorporating all additional alerts since IceCat-1, and reprocessing all events with significant improved reconstruction algorithms. A key advancement in IceCat-2 will come from an updated reconstruction technique introduced by the IceCube Collaboration in September 2024. This approach substantially enhances the angular resolution of muon track alerts, while also improving statistical coverage. With respect to IceCat-1, the 50%(90%) angular uncertainty on track alerts is expected to be reduced by a factor of approximately 5(4). These refined reconstructions will allow us to revisit possible correlations between past alerts and sources in gamma-ray and X-ray catalogs. The enhanced precision may uncover new astrophysical associations with known astrophysical sources, offering deeper insight into potential cosmic ray accelerators.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.004 | 0.006 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.011 | 0.007 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".