FP-14 Canada’s Productivity Challenge: The Hidden Costs of Resource Abundance and U.S. Dependence
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Canada’s productivity is lagging behind that of the U.S. and other advanced economies. Between 2001 and 2021, labour productivity increased by 19 percentage points less in Canada than in the U.S. (Gu and Willox, 2023), coinciding with a decline in investment per worker (Gu, 2024). A lack of competition, along with various constraints such as heavy regulation and interprovincial trade costs, is frequently cited to explain the productivity lag of Canadian firms (Rogers, 2024). This note proposes a different perspective: while abundant natural resources and privileged access to the U.S. market are often seen as key economic strengths for Canada, we examine how these very advantages may also act as constraints on productivity growth.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.009 | 0.005 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.010 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.020 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".