Multi-Armed Sampling Problem and the End of Exploration
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper introduces the framework of multi-armed sampling, which serves as the sampling counterpart to the optimization problem of multi-armed bandits. Our primary motivation is to rigorously examine the exploration-exploitation trade-off in the context of sampling. We systematically define plausible notions of regret for this framework and establish corresponding lower bounds. We then propose a simple algorithm that achieves near-optimal regret bounds. Our theoretical results suggest that, in contrast to optimization, sampling barely requires any exploration. To further connect our findings with those of multi-armed bandits, we define a continuous family of problems and associated regret measures that smoothly interpolate and unify multi-armed sampling and multi-armed bandit problems using a temperature parameter. We believe that the multi-armed sampling framework and our findings in this setting can play a foundational role in the study of sampling, including recent neural samplers, much like the role of multi-armed bandits in reinforcement learning. In particular, our work sheds light on the role of exploration (or lack thereof) and the convergence properties of algorithms for entropy-regularized reinforcement learning, fine-tuning of pretrained models and reinforcement learning with human feedback (RLHF).
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it