Data-efficient protein mutational effect prediction with weak supervision by molecular simulation and protein language models
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Machine learning-based protein mutational effect prediction is widely used in protein engineering and pathogenicity prediction, but training data scarcity remains a major challenge due to high costs of experimental measurements. A previous study proposed data augmentation using computational estimates by molecular simulation. However, this approach has been limited to predicting mutational effects on thermostability. Here, we present a new data augmentation method that combines molecular simulation with zero-shot prediction computed by protein language models. These computational estimates serve as 'weak' training data to supplement experimental training data. Our method dynamically adjusts the weight and inclusion of weak training data based on available experimental training data. This reduces potential negative impacts of weak training data while extending applicability to diverse protein properties such as binding affinity and enzymatic activity. Benchmark tests demonstrate that our method improves prediction accuracy particularly when experimental training data are scarce. These results indicate the capability of our approach to advance protein engineering and pathogenicity prediction in small data regimes.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".