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Record W4415218814 · doi:10.1016/j.sftr.2025.101357

Scenario analysis using community insights for improving local food system planning: Application of a climate-biodiversity-health framework

2025· article· en· W4415218814 on OpenAlexafffund
Jofri Issac, Robert Newell

Bibliographic record

VenueSustainable Futures · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldAgricultural and Biological Sciences
TopicOrganic Food and Agriculture
Canadian institutionsRoyal Roads University
FundersSocial Sciences and Humanities Research CouncilSocial Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada
KeywordsLeverage (statistics)Scenario planningStakeholderFood systemsCorporate governanceFood securitySystems thinkingSustainability

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Addressing the complexities of local food systems planning requires integrating community insights to design policies that meet stakeholder expectations and guide targeted interventions. This study employs systems to analyze local food systems planning within a Climate-Biodiversity-Health framework. By gathering stakeholder input and community perspectives, it aims to identify critical leverage points within the complex network of interconnected challenges affecting food systems. Using a survey designed around the connections of a systems map, 138 responses were gathered, and 15 nodes functioning as leverage points were identified across various domains, including climate, biodiversity, food, and governance. Mental Modeler software was used for a ‘what-if’ scenario analysis to explore the potential implications of the identified leverage points on overall food systems concerning climate, biodiversity, and health factors. This research contributes methodological and empirical insights to the literature by experimenting with a systems-based approach for comparing perspectives of practitioners and broader community members on food systems issues and strategies. The research revealed both areas of alignment and divergence that highlight the need for planning approaches that are effective and publicly trusted. The study identifies a mix of agro-ecological and governance interventions for building a resilient food system that supports climate action, biodiversity, and community well-being. Furthermore, the study aims to showcase the practical application of community knowledge in system analysis and intervention identification, contributing to the advancement of sustainable and resilient food systems.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.015
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.027
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Qualitative · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.015
Threshold uncertainty score0.082

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0150.027
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0060.004
Science and technology studies0.0030.003
Scholarly communication0.0050.006
Open science0.0020.007
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0080.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.011
GPT teacher head0.240
Teacher spread0.229 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designQualitative
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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