Equine trypanosomiasis, a systematic review and meta‐analyses: Prevalence, morbidity and mortality
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Equine trypanosomiasis is a neglected protozoal disease. OBJECTIVES: To perform a systematic search of literature to explore: (1) In equines what is the global geographical distribution and prevalence of trypanosomiasis? In low and middle-income countries (LMICs) is trypanosomiasis more prevalent than in higher-income countries (HICs)? (2) Is trypanosomiasis infection a significant contributor to global morbidity and mortality? STUDY DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analyses. METHODS: Studies were identified that described naturally occurring equine trypanosomiasis worldwide following 'Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses' using eight international databases (1980-2022). Equine population data for each country were extracted. Meta-analyses were used to estimate point prevalence and disease characteristics. Country exposure risk to equines (negligible/low/medium/high) and clinical data (Trypanosoma sp.; outbreak (O) vs. endemic (E) disease) were categorised. RESULTS: Study quality was assessed (Question 1 prevalence: n = 147 manuscripts, median grade 'medium' (4/8 (range 2-6)); Question 2 morbidity and mortality: n = 46 'moderate' (n = 1), 'low' (n = 20) or 'very low' (n = 25)). Heterogeneity was high. LMICs were more likely to report disease (41/125; 33% vs. 7/80, 9%; (p < 0.001; OR 5.1 (2.1-14.2))). Fifty-six percent of the world's equines reside in a 'medium'/'high' risk country (61,507,601). Disease characteristics were summated. For Trypanosoma evansi: (O) Infection rate (IR) (42%; 95% CI 14-76), morbidity (47%; (13-85)), mortality (23%; 7-54) and death to case ratio (DCR) (45%; 20-73). Trypanosoma equiperdum: (O) IR 12% (7-18), morbidity 25% (9-49). Tsetse transmitted trypanosomiasis (O): IR 46% (29-63), morbidity 46% (29%-63%), mortality 6% (1-19), DCR 12% (2-38). (E) IR 50% (20-60), morbidity (no data), mortality 11% (7-14), DCR 9% (5-16). Trypanosoma vivax (O) IR 43% (10-83), morbidity 43% (10-83), mortality 15% (0-100), DCR 32% (0-100). MAIN LIMITATIONS: Publication bias, heterogeneity, descriptive data, missing data. CONCLUSIONS: Equine trypanosomiasis predominates in LMICs. Conservatively, globally more than eight million equines are estimated to be affected, with substantial morbidity and mortality.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".