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Record W4415550896 · doi:10.1101/2025.10.25.684519

Threats to Nature’s contributions to people provided by terrestrial vertebrates across Europe

2025· preprint· W4415550896 on OpenAlexaff
Louise O’Connor, Francesca Cosentino, Servane Demarquet, Pierre Gaüzère, Tom X. Hackbarth, Luigi Maiorano, Chiara Mancino, Julien Renaud, Sara Si‐Moussi, Peter H. Verburg, Wilfried Thuiller

Bibliographic record

VenuebioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · 2025
Typepreprint
Language
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicEcology and biodiversity studies
Canadian institutionsCanadian Nautical Research Society
Fundersnot available
KeywordsThreatened speciesAgricultureEndangered speciesBiodiversityEcosystem servicesVertebrateEcosystem

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT Aim Species and ecosystem processes provide essential benefits to people, known as Nature's Contributions to People (NCP). However, we still lack a comprehensive understanding of NCP provided by terrestrial vertebrates on a macroecological scale, and of the threats they face. To address this, we built a comprehensive dataset that documents the NCP provided by terrestrial vertebrate species in Europe, and analysed the conservation status and threats to NCP provider species. Location Europe. Methods We synthesised existing literature on NCP associated with European terrestrial vertebrates, and leveraged ecological traits and trophic interactions from existing datasets. We identified 15 NCP (10 regulating NCP and 5 non‐material NCP), with 860 species providing at least one NCP (out of 1168 vertebrate species considered in total). Then, we harnessed spatial data on species distributions and European land systems to map the potential capacity of vertebrates to provide NCP across Europe at a 1 km 2 resolution, including societal demand for each NCP. Results We found that (i) for each NCP, at least 25% of NCP provider species are assessed as threatened with extinction; (ii) potential NCP multifunctionality was lowest in high‐intensity land systems; and (iii) direct exploitation and agricultural intensification are major threats to NCP, impacting provider species for both non‐material and regulating NCP. Main Conclusions NCP are supported by diverse vertebrate communities across Europe, but many provider species are threatened by anthropogenic pressures. Our results suggest that protecting threatened NCP provider species, reducing direct exploitation, de‐intensifying agricultural practices, and maintaining heterogeneous mosaic landscapes, may support NCP multifunctionality. By improving our understanding of the NCP provided by terrestrial vertebrates in Europe, their biogeography, and the threats, our work can help prioritise species and areas for conservation and restoration that jointly benefits both biodiversity and NCP.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.011
Threshold uncertainty score0.022

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0030.005
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.009
GPT teacher head0.246
Teacher spread0.237 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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