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Record W4415652717 · doi:10.14740/jocmr6324

Pericardial Fat Tissue as a Predictor of the Severity of Acute Coronavirus Infection COVID-19

2025· article· en· W4415652717 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
А. Е. Брагина, А. И. Тарзиманова, Yu. N. Rodionova, K. K. Osadchiy, T I Ishina, I. D. Medvedev, Л. В. Васильева, Н. А. Дружинина, Karina Umbetova, O.F. Belaya, Maria Kutusheva, Zlata Nefedova, В. И. Подзолков

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Clinical Medicine Research · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicCardiovascular Disease and Adiposity
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCoronavirusCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)2019-20 coronavirus outbreakAdipose tissueSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Background: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and obesity remain pressing global health concerns. Identifying predictors of severe disease is of particular importance. Pericardial fat tissue (PFT) is a known source of metainflammation due to its secretion of adipocytokines and inflammatory mediators. Moreover, cytokine storm plays a major role in COVID-19-related mortality. This study aimed to investigate the association between preexisting PFT volume and inflammatory markers in patients with COVID-19. Methods: The study included 290 hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection. Based on PFT volume (above or below 3.45 cm3), patients were divided into two groups: with and without pericardial obesity (PO), consisting of 132 and 158 individuals, respectively. Clinical, laboratory, and imaging data were analyzed. Statistical analysis was performed in Statistica 12.0. Results: Significant intergroup differences were observed in the PO group for the following variables: male sex (P < 0.001), body mass index (BMI) (P < 0.001), obesity (P < 0.001), and history of diabetes mellitus (P = 0.003). No significant differences were found in lung computed tomography (CT) severity scores. However, patients with PO showed significantly lower oxygen saturation (SpO2) levels (P = 0.014) and a higher frequency of SpO2 ≤ 93% (P = 0.012). Ferritin levels were significantly higher in the PO group (median 440 (274.00 - 552.70) vs. 292.55 (156.00 - 521.50), P = 0.010). Linear correlation analysis revealed a positive association between PFT volume and age, BMI, glucose, ferritin, C-reactive protein, and D-dimer levels, and a negative correlation with oxygen saturation. Multivariate logistic regression confirmed an independent association between PFT volume and SpO2 ≤ 93%. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis identified a threshold PFT volume of 3.45 cm3 for predicting increased risk of severe COVID-19 (SpO2 ≤ 93%), with sensitivity of 66.7%, specificity of 65.0%, and area under the curve (AUC) of 0.710 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.551 - 0.868, P < 0.001). Conclusions: Our data suggest that a PFT volume greater than 3.45 cm3 is a potential predictor of severe COVID-19.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.002
Threshold uncertainty score0.007

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.165
GPT teacher head0.563
Teacher spread0.398 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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