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Record W4415688736 · doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ae0922

Calcium Excess in Novae: Beyond Nuclear Physics Uncertainties

2025· article· en· W4415688736 on OpenAlexaff
Mallory K. Loria, Pavel A. Denissenkov, C. Ruiz, Falk Herwig

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Astrophysical Journal · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicAstrophysical Phenomena and Observations
Canadian institutionsUniversity of VictoriaTRIUMF
Fundersnot available
KeywordsNova (rocket)Abundance (ecology)NucleosynthesisNuclear reactionMonte Carlo methodIsotopes of calcium

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract We examine Ca abundances in classical novae from spectroscopic observations spanning 65 yr and investigate whether they are systematically high compared to those predicted by nova models. For the first time, we perform Monte Carlo simulations assessing the impact of nuclear reaction rate uncertainties on abundances predicted by multizone nova models. While the Ca abundances in the models are sensitive to variations of rates of the reactions 37 Ar( p , γ ) 38 K and 38 K( p , γ ) 39 Ca, the nuclear physics uncertainties of these reactions cannot account for the discrepancy between the observed and predicted Ca abundances in novae. Furthermore, the overabundance of Ca has important implications for measuring 7 Be in nova ejecta, as Ca lines are used to estimate 7 Be abundances. If the Ca abundance is incorrectly determined, it could lead to inaccurate 7 Be abundance estimates. Possible alternative explanations for the observed Ca overabundance are discussed.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.006
Threshold uncertainty score0.012

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.015
GPT teacher head0.258
Teacher spread0.243 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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