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Record W4415722851 · doi:10.3391/mbi.2025.16.4.03

Potentially high-risk freshwater invasive species in Quebec: a screening-level risk assessment of 46 non-indigenous species

2025· article· W4415722851 on OpenAlexfundaboutno aff
Andrew J. Guerin, Michèle Pelletier-Rousseau, Eloïse C. Ashworth, Andréa M. Weise, Andréanne Demers, L. P. Roy, Jaclyn M. Hill

Bibliographic record

VenueManagement of Biological Invasions · 2025
Typearticle
Language
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicAquatic Invertebrate Ecology and Behavior
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersFisheries and Oceans Canada
KeywordsRisk assessmentInvasive speciesFreshwater ecosystemAquatic animalIntroduced speciesProbabilistic risk assessment

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

As ecological and economic impacts of non-indigenous species (NIS) are a growing concern globally, screening-level risk assessments can help to rapidly prioritize the allocation of resources.A screening-level risk assessment was performed using the Canadian Marine Invasive Screening Tool (CMIST) to assess the potential ecological risks posed by 46 non-indigenous species (fish, molluscs, crustaceans, plants and algae) in 6 areas of Quebec.Out of 46 NIS assessed, 25 were identified as high-risk in at least one area of the province.Some species, such as Goldfish (Carassius auratus), Eurasian watermilfoil (Myriophyllum spicatum), waterthyme (Hydrilla verticillata), and curly-leaf pondweed (Potamogeton crispus) appear to be high risk in most areas of Quebec.However, risk scores (and numbers of potentially high-risk species) were greater in the southern areas of the province, particularly adjacent to the St. Lawrence River, and lowest in the most northerly regions.Using the CMIST scores, a list of the species posing the greatest ecological risk was developed.This included several well-known invasive species, such as dreissenid mussels (Dreissena polymorpha and D. bugensis) and several plants including M. spicatum and P. crispus.A disproportionately large number of the "high risk" species were plants.High risk species should be priority targets for future assessments and potential management actions.More investment in control, management, mitigation and research concerning aquatic invasive plants in Canadian waters is called for.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.023
Threshold uncertainty score0.094

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.059
GPT teacher head0.264
Teacher spread0.205 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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