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Record W4415791316 · doi:10.1186/s40562-025-00430-5

The 2021 South Sandwich Islands tsunami: from the Antarctic to the far Northeast corner of the Pacific Ocean

2025· article· en· W4415791316 on OpenAlexaffabout
Alexander B. Rabinovich, E. S. Tsukanova, Richard E. Thomson

Bibliographic record

VenueGeoscience Letters · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
Topicearthquake and tectonic studies
Canadian institutionsFisheries and Oceans Canada
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPacific oceanTsunami waveFront (military)Arrival timePeriod (music)Tsunami earthquakeSubmarine pipelinePacific PlateMagnitude (astronomy)

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract The major earthquake sequence that struck near the South Sandwich Islands in the Antarctic sector of the Atlantic Ocean on August 12, 2021, began with a magnitude M w 7.5 rupture at 18:33 UTC, followed by a more intense M w 8.1–8.3 mainshock three minutes later. The tsunami generated by this complex event spread throughout the World Ocean, where, in the northeast Pacific Ocean, it was observed in such distal regions as California, British Columbia and the Aleutian Islands, 15,000–18,000 km from the source area. Tsunami waves recorded by multiple oceanic sensors show that the tsunami arrived at the coast of Vancouver Island about 23 h after the earthquake and then two hours later at coastal Alaska and the Aleutian Islands. The 10–20 min period waves that dominated both the coastal and open-ocean tsunami waveforms appear to be tightly associated with the source properties. A numerical model developed for the event closely reproduces the open-ocean records. To achieve this close agreement between the observed and modelled tsunami waveforms in deep water, we adjusted the model to account for the dispersion that occurred during propagation of the waves across the Pacific Ocean. Our findings further show that kinematic models commonly used for tsunami warnings (and based solely on “dead-reckoning” estimates of wave front trajectories) give for far-field events earlier estimated arrival times (ETAs) than the measurable arrival times (TAs) of the tsunami waves.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.093
Threshold uncertainty score0.185

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.007
GPT teacher head0.187
Teacher spread0.180 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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