Integrating Remotely Sensed Thermal Observations for Calibration of Process-Based Land-Surface Models: Accuracy, Revisit Windows, and Implications in a Dryland Ecosystem
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Understanding land surface fluxes is essential for sustaining dryland ecosystem functioning and services. However, the scarcity of in situ measurements poses a significant challenge to dryland monitoring. Satellite optical and thermal remote sensing data can provide the instantaneous estimates of land surface fluxes, such as surface temperature (LST), net radiation (Rn), sensible heat flux (H), evapotranspiration (latent heat flux, LE), and gross primary productivity (GPP). However, satellite-based estimates are often limited by sensor revisit frequencies and cloud-cover conditions. To facilitate temporally continuous estimation, process-based land surface models are often used to integrate sparse remote sensing observations and meteorological inputs, thereby generating continuous estimates of energy, water, and carbon fluxes. However, the impact of satellite thermal data accuracy and temporal resolutions on simulating land surface fluxes is under-explored, particularly in dryland ecosystems. Therefore, this study assessed the accuracy of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) thermal infrared data in a dryland tussock grassland ecosystem in southern Spain. We also assessed the incorporation and various temporal frequencies of thermal data into process-based modelling for simulating land surface fluxes. The model simulations were validated against in situ measurements from eddy covariance towers. Results show that MODIS LST has a high correlation but large bias with in situ measurements (R2 = 0.81, RMSE = 4.34 °C). After a linear correction of MODIS LST with in situ measurements, we found that the adjusted MODIS LST can effectively improve the half-hourly simulation of LST, Rn, H, LE, SWC, and GPP with relative RMSEs of 7.84, 5.67, 7.81, 11.32, 6.59, and 13.09%, respectively. Such performance is close to the flux simulations driven by in situ LST. We also found that by adjusting the revisit frequency of the satellite sensor to 8 days, the model performance of simulating surface fluxes did not change significantly. This study provides insights into how satellite thermal remote sensing can be integrated with the process-based model to understand dryland ecosystem functioning, which is critical for ecological management and climate adaptation strategies.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".