Predictive modeling of long-term improvement in occlusion outcomes following Woven EndoBridge treatment of cerebral aneurysms: A machine learning approach
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BackgroundThe Woven EndoBridge (WEB) device represents an innovative solution for cerebral aneurysm occlusion, particularly for challenging wide-neck bifurcation aneurysms. However, factors affecting sustained occlusion remain poorly understood. We utilized machine learning to attempt to identify predictors of favorable long-term outcomes following WEB treatment.MethodsIn this multicenter retrospective study, we collected patient demographics, aneurysm characteristics, procedural details, and clinical outcomes. The primary endpoint was improvement in occlusion status, defined as maintained Raymond-Roy Occlusion Classification (RROC) grade 1, or improvement from grade 2 to 1, or from grade 3 to either 2 or 1 on final angiographic follow up. The dataset was split into training (75%) and validation (25%) sets. The CatBoost algorithm was selected based on performance metrics, with Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values calculated to determine feature importance. Furthermore, a multivariable binomial logistic regression model was performed to validate machine learning findings.ResultsAmong 720 aneurysms from 36 hospitals, 84% showed improvement in occlusion at follow up. Both machine learning and multivariable logistic regression identified aneurysm height as the most consistent correlate of nonimprovement (odds ratio (OR) 0.90 per mm, p = 0.022). In the CatBoost model, the highest-ranking features by SHAP included aneurysm height, patient age, treatment acuity, ACom location, WEB-SLS device, bifurcation anatomy, aneurysm multiplicity, baseline modified Rankin Scale, access route, and partial thrombosis.ConclusionsMachine-learning and regression analyses identified consistent predictors of occlusion improvement after WEB treatment, with aneurysm height most strongly linked to nonimprovement. These insights may guide patient selection and follow up. Findings require cautious interpretation and external validation in larger cohorts.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".