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Record W4415826774 · doi:10.1101/2025.10.31.685968

Integrating Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning to Forecast Air Pollution Impacts on Climate Variability and Public Health

2025· preprint· W4415826774 on OpenAlexaff
Ali Shafaghat

Bibliographic record

VenuebioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · 2025
Typepreprint
Language
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicAir Quality Monitoring and Forecasting
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Calgary
Fundersnot available
KeywordsAir pollutionAir quality indexArtificial neural networkClimate changeEnsemble learningRandom forestHuman healthPollutionAir Pollution Index

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT This study presents a machine learning based simulation for predicting air pollution impact on climate temperature fluctuations and human health. Using synthetic data generated through statistical modeling, seven types of air pollution sources and seven key pollutants were simulated. Machine learning models, including Random Forest, XGBoost, Neural Networks, and others, were applied to evaluate the correlation between pollution levels, air quality index (AQI), and predicted health impacts. Results indicate strong predictive capabilities of ensemble models for environmental monitoring, demonstrating accuracy levels between 70 to 99%. This approach provides a scalable framework for forecasting pollution-driven health risks where measured data are unavailable.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.009
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Science and technology studies
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.135
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0090.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0020.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.047
GPT teacher head0.271
Teacher spread0.224 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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