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Record W4415887286 · doi:10.1101/2025.11.02.25339326

Sputum scarcity among adolescents and adults with presumptive tuberculosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

2025· review· en· W4415887286 on OpenAlexaff
Mary Gaeddert, Πηνελόπη Παπαδοπούλου, Jennifer Habbes, Tobias Niederegger, Lukas Schik, Julian Meister, Maurizio Grilli, Ashlyn Beecroft, Mikashmi Kohli, Madhukar Pai, Claudia M. Denkinger, Florian M. Marx, Ankur Gupta‐Wright

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2025
Typereview
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicTuberculosis Research and Epidemiology
Canadian institutionsMcGill UniversityMcGill University Health Centre
FundersNational Institute of Allergy and Infectious DiseasesNational Institutes of HealthNational Institute for Health and Care ResearchBill and Melinda Gates Foundation
KeywordsScarcitySputumPopulationEpidemiologyDiseasePublic health

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Summary Background The diagnosis of tuberculosis (TB) typically relies on being able to produce a sputum sample for microbiological testing. However, sputum scarcity, the inability to self-expectorate an adequate sputum sample for TB testing, is a well-known concern. Our systematic review and meta-analysis investigated the proportion of sputum scarcity among adolescents and adults being evaluated for presumptive TB in healthcare facilities. Methods We searched PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and clinical trials databases with no language restrictions from January 2010 to October 2023 using terms for ‘TB’, sputum, and diagnostic studies. We excluded studies with participants aged <15 years, that enrolled patients already providing sputum, or not adequately reporting information on sputum collection. Published summary data was extracted, and the risk of bias was assessed. Summary estimates for the proportion of sputum scarcity were calculated overall and by pre-specified sub-groups. The pooled proportion of sputum scarcity was calculated by random effects meta-analysis. The review protocol was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42023473882). Findings Our search identified 9895 records, of which 114 studies were included and 81 were rated as a low risk of bias. The median proportion of sputum scarcity across all 114 studies was 6.0% (95% CI: 2.9-9.1%, IQR: 0-19.9%). In subgroup meta-analyses limited to studies collecting one or two self-expectorated spot sputum samples, the pooled estimate of sputum scarcity was 23% (95%CI: 14-33%, n=27). Sputum scarcity was higher in PLHIV sub-groups. The pooled estimate of sputum scarcity in studies enrolling only PLHIV was 24% (95% CI: 15-33%, n=9) for collection of one or two self-expectorated spot sputum samples. Sputum scarcity was the highest in PLHIV inpatients or with advanced disease, with 32% (95% CI: 22-41%, n=5) unable to provide one or two self-expectorated samples. Patients without HIV had the lowest pooled estimate of scarcity, with 12% (95% CI: 3-21%, n=5) unable to provide a self-expectorated sample of any number or collection time. And studies using sputum induction to collect one or two spot samples had a pooled scarcity of 10% (95% CI: 0-21%, n=12). Interpretation Sputum scarcity is seen in nearly a quarter of patients being evaluated for TB and this compromises TB detection. These findings support the ongoing work to develop non-sputum TB tests. Funding Gates Foundation (INV-069540) Research in Context Evidence before this study Current diagnostics for tuberculosis (TB) rely on testing sputum samples, and patients unable to produce sputum at the time of evaluation may have a delayed or missed diagnosis. However, there are no reliable estimates about how many patients being evaluted for presumptive TB are unable to produce a sputum sample (sputum scarce) and how this varies in different settings and populations. Added value of this study This systematic review included data from 114 studies, and found approximately 24% of patients with presumed TB could not produce one or two sputum samples at the time of evaluation. We found higher proportions of sputum scarcity in people living with HIV, and in people living with HIV who were hospital inpatients. We found sputum scarcity was lowest in people without HIV. Implications of all the available evidence Sputum scarcity can impact nearly a quarter of patients being evaluated for TB and is more common in people living with HIV. These data support the need for non-sputum diagnostics.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.019
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.045
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Meta-analysis · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Review · Consensus signal: Review
Teacher disagreement score0.022
Threshold uncertainty score0.103

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0190.045
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0030.002
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0220.042
Bibliometrics0.0080.007
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0040.003
Open science0.0030.002
Research integrity0.0030.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.053
GPT teacher head0.359
Teacher spread0.306 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designMeta-analysis
Domainnot available
GenreReview

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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