Turn Your Gaze into the Chrystal Ball: A Symposium on Prospective Sensemaking
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This symposium addresses the emerging concept of prospective sensemaking, focusing on how individuals can envision and prepare for uncertain futures. It involves the process by which individuals project themselves into future scenarios, interpreting how they might react to anticipated events (Stigliani & Ravasi, 2012). With today’s organizational environments characterized by rapid change and volatility (Ashford et al., 2018), understanding how people make sense of and mentally simulate future possibilities is important to actively prepare them for unexpected events (Seligman et al., 2013). Here, prospective sensemaking allows individuals to ‘pre-experience’ possible futures, fostering adaptability and resilience in unpredictable contexts (Gilbert & Wilson, 2007; Rosness et al., 2016). The symposium consists of four distinct presentations that offer a unified exploration of prospective sensemaking across career and organizational contexts, combining theoretical advancements, innovative methodologies, and practical applications. In general, the symposium aims to enhance our understanding of prospective sensemaking by: (1) Offering new theoretical insights into prospective sensemaking; showcasing empirical studies that reveal how individuals may actively prepare for future career events and organizational change; (2) providing actionable insights for career counseling and organizations, aimed at supporting individuals’ preparedness for unexpected futures; and (3) discussing possible methodologies that help us to research and teach prospective sensemaking. Prospective Sensemaking in Contemporary Careers Context Author: Mostafa Ayoobzadeh; Université du Québec à Montréal (UQAM) Author: Melika Shirmohammadi; University of Houston Author: Mina Beigi; University of Southampton Integrating the Past and Future Self in Leadership and Career Author: Jon P. Briscoe; Northern Illinois University Building Sustainable Futures Brick by Brick: Exploring Prospective Sensemaking Through LEGO® Author: Yoy Bergs; Nyenrode Business University Author: Pascale Peters; Nyenrode Business University Author: Xander Lub; University of Applied Sciences Utrecht Author: Robert Blomme; Nyenrode Business University “I Saw That Coming:” Employees’ Prospective Sensemaking Stories of Organizational Change Author: Annemiek Van Der Schaft; Radboud University Nijmegen Author: Omar Solinger; Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Author: Xander Lub; University of Applied Sciences Utrecht Author: W Van Olffen; Author: Beatrice Isabella Johanna Maria Van Der Heijden; Radboud University Nijmegen
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.011 | 0.010 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.019 | 0.023 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.017 | 0.010 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.011 |
| Research integrity | 0.006 | 0.015 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.012 | 0.003 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".