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What Do We Really Know? A 40-Year Scientific Realist Examination of Theory Testing in Project Management

2025· article· en· W4416051775 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueInternational Journal of Project Management · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicConstruction Project Management and Performance
Canadian institutionsAthabasca UniversityUniversity of Windsor
Fundersnot available
KeywordsScrutinyScholarshipLegitimacyEmpirical researchProject managementConceptual frameworkDevelopment theoryScientific theory

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT The scholarly project management literature that focuses on theory includes calls for theory adaptation and cross-fertilization, greater domestic theory development, and explicit communication of the philosophical underpinnings of theories. The nature and extent of theory testing, an indicator of intellectual progress, is an unexamined area. We address the research gap via a scientific realist analysis of theories tested in 4,033 articles published in three core project management journals (1983–2023). The results reveal steady growth in empirical research; a large volume of single tests of domestic theories commensurate with results in neighbouring management and organization studies disciplines; and a reliance on foreign theories for knowledge creation. We propose a more protective stance vis-à-vis foreign theories to enhance scholarly legitimacy and innovation, and hence propose a borrowed theory assessment framework to scrutinize them prior to admittance.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.011
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesScholarly communication
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Other design · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.883
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0110.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0070.004
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.002
Open science0.0020.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.074
GPT teacher head0.389
Teacher spread0.315 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it