Sectoral Impact Assessment of the Export Financing Program – PROEX
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The Export Financing Program (PROEX) is a federal government instrument designed to support Brazilin export of goods and services through two modalities: National Treasury Financing and Interest Rate Support. This study evaluates the impact of PROEX on Brazilian exports between 2010 and 2021, adopting a novel approach that examines different sectors of the Brazilian export industry. The net effect of PROEX on each sector’s overall export capacity was analyzed, accounting for changes in firms’ market power within each sector. To address unobservable endogenous factors affecting PROEX's performance, an exogenous term was developed to reflect the economic attractiveness of Brazil's 20 main export markets. The econometric analysis indicates that a 10% increase in exports PROEX-supported exports, combined with a proportional demand shock in the destination countries, leads to an average increase of 21.3% in Brazilian sectoral exports.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it