The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development meets the state: a post-pandemic compromise
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Since its establishment in 1991, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has been a champion of neoliberal transition and private sector financing in the post-communist world. With the decline of the Washington Consensus paradigm, the emergence of China as a powerful global development actor, and the rise of state capitalism, multilateral development banks have begun to adjust their policies to the changing environment reconsidering the role of the state. This article conceptualises the Covid-19 pandemic as an external shock that has accelerated this process. Analysing the EBRD’s response to the pandemic, we argue that the crisis has pushed the EBRD to redefine the state’s role, accepting it as a risk-taker in financing green infrastructure projects. Using historical institutionalist lenses, we find that the undergoing fusion between neoliberalism and state capitalism within a relatively coherent development finance regime complex is leading the EBRD to a post-pandemic compromise: the Bank maintains its commitment to private sector financing and simultaneously engages with states aiming to support the funding of sustainable infrastructure.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.006 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it