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Record W4416274615 · doi:10.15288/jsad.25-00189

Association of anticipated stimulant and sedative effects of alcohol with future heavy drinking in a large Swiss cohort study of young men

2025· article· en· W4416274615 on OpenAlexaff
Gerhard Gmel, Tommaso Comodo, Joseph Studer, Andrea C. King

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Studies on Alcohol and Drugs · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicSubstance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
Canadian institutionsCentre for Addiction and Mental Health
Fundersnot available
KeywordsStimulantSedativeSedationAlcohol consumptionHeavy drinkingCohort studyPsychological interventionPoison controlAlcohol

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

OBJECTIVE: Theories posit that acute alcohol responses predict the development of future heavy alcohol use and alcohol-related problems. The most prominent of these theories is the low-level response theory, which purports that less intense alcohol responses are associated with later development of alcohol use disorder. The counter-modified differentiator model posits that greater stimulant effects with lower sedative effects predict future heavy drinking. The present study provided a concurrent testing of these theories in a large-scale cohort of young adult Swiss men. METHOD: Data were derived from two waves of the Cohort Study on Substance Use Risk Factors in 2,749 French-speaking, current alcohol-consuming young adult men age 25.7 years at baseline and 28.5 years at follow-up. Participants completed the 6-item Anticipated Brief Biphasic Alcohol Effects Scale with the instructions of the anticipated effects they feel after consuming five standard drinks, and the stimulation and sedation subscales were used in analyses. Associations of these scores with volume of drinking and frequency of heavy episodic drinking were determined both at baseline and at 3-year follow-up. Models were adjusted for covariates, including disinhibited personality and family history of alcohol problems. RESULTS: values ≤ .001). CONCLUSIONS: The present study supported the modified differentiator model in that higher anticipated stimulation and lower sedation predicted future alcohol consumption patterns. This may be useful for preventing heavy drinking and informing pharmacological interventions intended to reduce the pleasurable effects.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Direct model labels (unvalidated)

Per-model category and study-design labels from the labeling rounds. They are machine output, unvalidated, and the disagreement between models ships as data. No study design here is MEDLINE-validated yet.

Model armCategoriesStudy designConfidence
gemmano category
Domain: not available · Genre: Empirical
About the Canadian research system: no · About a Canadian topic: no
Observationallow
gptno category
Domain: not available · Genre: Empirical
About the Canadian research system: no · About a Canadian topic: no
Observationallow
models agreeAgreement compares identical category sets and study designs across arms.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.036
Threshold uncertainty score0.372

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.014
GPT teacher head0.316
Teacher spread0.302 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Labeled directly by 2 models reading the full record.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

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