Geometric Modeling of Hippocampal Tau Deposition: A Surface-Based Framework for Covariate Analysis and Off-Target Contamination Detection
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We introduce a framework combining geometric modeling with disease progression analysis to investigate tau deposition in Alzheimer's disease (AD) using positron emission tomography (PET) data. Focusing on the hippocampus, we construct a principal surface that captures the spatial distribution and morphological changes of tau pathology. By projecting voxels onto this surface, we quantify tau coverage, intensity, and thickness through bidirectional projection distances and interpolated standardized uptake value ratios (SUVR). This low-dimensional embedding preserves spatial specificity while mitigating multiple comparison issues. Covariate effects are analyzed using a two-stage regression model with inverse probability weighting to adjust for signal sparsity and selection bias. Using the SuStaIn model, we identify subtypes and stages of AD, revealing distinct tau dynamics: the limbic-predominant subtype shows age-related nonlinear accumulation in coverage and thickness, whereas the posterior subtype exhibits uniform SUVR increases across disease progression. Model-based predictions show that hippocampal tau deposition follows a structured spatial trajectory expanding bidirectionally with increasing thickness, while subtype differences highlight posterior hippocampal involvement consistent with whole-brain patterns. Finally, directional signal patterns on the principal surface reveal contamination from the choroid plexus, demonstrating the broader applicability of the proposed framework across modalities including amyloid PET.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".