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Impacts of 2023 Canadian Wildfires on Air Quality in the Lake Michigan Region During AGES+

2025· article· W4416548372 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Juanito Jerrold Mariano Acdan, R. Bradley Pierce, Gabriele Pfister, Jun Zhang

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Language
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicAtmospheric chemistry and aerosols
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsAir quality indexSmokeParticulatesAerosolSatelliteAir pollutionChemical transport model

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The historic 2023 Canadian wildfire season degraded air quality in the United States due to smoke transport across international borders. This study evaluates the impact of these fires on surface ozone (O3) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) air quality in the Lake Michigan region during the AGES+ (AEROMMA+CUPiDS, GOTHAAM, EPCAPE, STAQS, and others) field campaign period. We conducted simulations with the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) driven by chemical boundary conditions with and without Canadian wildfire emissions and analyzed them in conjunction with ground-based measurements, satellite observations, and in situ aircraft observations. Results show that the diurnal cycle and magnitude of PM2.5 concentrations were largely influenced by wildfire smoke transport and that a majority of the PM2.5 exceedance days that occurred during the study period can be attributed to wildfire smoke. Further analysis revealed that the first of two O3 exceedance periods, from 23–25 July 2023, was impacted by near-surface wildfire smoke, while the second period, from 1–3 August 2023, was not. Comparing simulations with and without Canadian wildfire emissions, we found that the aerosol shading effect on surface O3 production occurred. However, modeled aerosol optical depth values were underestimated compared to satellite observations, indicating that this phenomenon was likely stronger than suggested by the model simulations. As the frequency of forest fires is projected to increase due to climate change, this research highlights the growing impacts of wildfire smoke on air quality in the Lake Michigan region.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.036
Threshold uncertainty score0.076

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.016
GPT teacher head0.243
Teacher spread0.227 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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