Application of Data-Centric Supervised Machine Learning to Predict Phenotypic Activity Against Clinically Relevant Stages of Trypanosoma cruzi
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background/Objectives: Chagas disease is a neglected tropical disease caused by the protozoan parasite Trypanosoma cruzi, which currently affects around 8 million people worldwide. The therapeutic arsenal against T. cruzi is so far limited to only two approved drugs, benznidazole and nifurtimox, that have considerable side effects and limited efficacy in the chronic stage of the disease. Here, we have resorted to supervised phenotypic machine learning models to explore drug repurposing opportunities and identify potential new therapeutic solutions for Chagas disease. Methods: More than 100,000 bioactivity data points were retrieved from ChEMBL and carefully curated according to the data-centric machine learning paradigm. After curation, two datasets comprising 344 compounds tested against T. cruzi Y strain trypomastigotes and 785 compounds tested against Tulahuen strain amastigotes were obtained and used to infer ensemble learning models with excellent average and early enrichment metrics in retrospective screening experiments (AUROC > 0.96 and EF0.01 > 58). A prospective screening campaign was then performed on DrugBank and the Drug Repurposing Hub databases, submitting eight in silico hits for experimental confirmation. Results: Six of the in silico hits confirmed their predicted trypanocidal effects. Conclusions: We have built portable meta-classifiers capable of identifying small molecules with trypanocidal activity against amastigotes, the clinically most relevant stage of T. cruzi. The predictive ability of this meta-classifier was experimentally validated.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".