Predicting bacterial-mediated entomopathogenicity through comparative genomics and statistical modeling
Bibliographic record
Abstract
ABSTRACT Bacterial genomes encode vast functional diversity and have both beneficial and detrimental effects on insect hosts. While genotype-to-phenotype relationships are known for specific insecticidal genes on individual insect hosts, whether these mechanisms will be effective on a phylogenetically distinct insect host is not always known. To determine if known virulence genes are effective on a new host, we developed a method to merge existing mechanistic knowledge with in vivo tests on a small number of bacterial isolates to predict bacterial genes associated with entomopathogenesis. We used a model consisting of Drosophila melanogaster interactions with pathogenic and commensal genome-sequenced strains of Pseudomonas bacteria. We compiled a database of previously described insecticidal and biocontrol genes within the Pseudomonas genus and used comparative genomics to probe the distribution of these genes across Pseudomonas strains. We found natural variation in the presence of known insecticidal genes across the genus. We tested the insect-killing capacity of 13 Pseudomonas spp. strains against D. melanogaster and found natural variation in insecticidal activity. To identify bacterial genes associated with fly mortality, we employed two statistical models to correlate bacterial virulence with the presence of previously described insecticidal activity. To validate our predictions, we used a P. aeruginosa PAO1 transposon mutant library and identified eight operons that are necessary for killing D. melanogaster . We show that by combining existing literature with phenotyping a small number of strains, we identified both known and novel genes associated with insecticidal activity in D. melanogaster , using a rapid, scalable screening framework. More broadly, these findings illustrate a discovery pipeline for bacterial virulence mechanisms, accelerating the discovery of insect pest biocontrol mechanisms. IMPORTANCE Bacteria with insecticidal properties offer a promising alternative to chemical pesticides, but identifying effective strains and their underlying mechanisms remains a challenge. Here, we used Pseudomonas-D. melanogaster as a model to develop a predictive framework for determining which known bacterial genes with insecticidal activity are effective in a new host. By integrating comparative genomics, statistical modeling, and experimental validation, we identified insecticidal genes that are effective in D. melanogaster and highlighted new candidates for future study, demonstrating the utility of our integrative modeling approach. Our findings show that genetic predictors of virulence vary across Pseudomonas phylogenetic groups, highlighting the potential for targeted biocontrol strategies. We also demonstrate that disrupting specific pathways significantly reduces insecticidal activity, confirming their role in bacterial virulence. As Pseudomonas strains are found in diverse environments, this approach may be broadly applicable for predicting insecticidal efficacy in other bacterial genera. By improving our ability to identify and engineer microbial biocontrol agents, this work advances sustainable pest management strategies and provides new tools for reducing reliance on conventional pesticides.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".