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Freeze/Thaw Dynamics by GNSS-R: Climate Change Effects over the Arctic Boreal Zone

2025· article· W4416727668 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Hugo Carreño-Luengo, Christopher S. Ruf, Laura Bourgeau‐Chavez, Arijit Roy, H. Salmabadi, Chelene C. Hanes, Brendan M. Rogers, Randi Jandt, Alison York, Susan Majors

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Language
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicClimate change and permafrost
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsClimate changeBorealThe arcticArcticEarth system scienceFire controlWork (physics)Taiga

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Wildfires hazard is rapidly increasing in the Arctic-Boreal zone due to climate change. This work briefly introduces the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Research Opportunities in Space and Earth Science Freeze/thaw wildfires Risk prEdiction (FIRE) project. FIRE combines disruptive scientific research with coordinated and efficient teamwork to fight fires, before fires happen, with an improved determination of where to mobilize resources, so as to prevent socioeconomic losses and damage. FIRE will overcome current weaknesses in state-of-the-art fire weather systems by adding accurate freeze/thaw soil surface state information to the Fire Weather Index system, which is a subsystem of the Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.268
Threshold uncertainty score0.534

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.017
GPT teacher head0.242
Teacher spread0.226 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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