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Record W4416768915 · doi:10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103667

Testing the effect of ecosystem service and land classification on global values of forested watershed ecosystem services

2025· article· en· W4416768915 on OpenAlexafffund
Khusro Mir, Roy Brouwer

Bibliographic record

VenueForest Policy and Economics · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicLand Use and Ecosystem Services
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Waterloo
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
KeywordsWatershedEcosystem servicesValuation (finance)Land coverStock (firearms)Land useEcosystemWatershed management

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Forested watersheds provide a variety of ecosystem services. Their economic valuation has increased significantly over the past decades, but the literature is fragmented and heterogenous and little has been done to systematically analyse estimated values. This paper presents a global meta-analysis of the economic values of forested watershed services (FWS). We address two key methodological issues in the literature: the impact of FWS classification on value estimates and sensitivity to scale based on the stock of FWS. The latter is measured as the forested watershed area size compared to common practices to measure overall area size including other land cover and use. In the former case, we compare the detailed Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services (CICES) with more simple and informal classifications found in the literature. We show that both the explanatory and predictive power of the estimated meta-regression models increase as we include more details about the valued FWS and use more accurate estimations of the stock of FWS. Findings are cross-validated with the existing forest hydrology literature. The study highlights the economic significance of maintaining forest cover in watershed areas and the need for more harmonised and accurate reporting of the flow and stock of FWS in the non-market valuation literature. • Meta-analysis explores variation in global values of forested watershed services. • Detailed ecosystem service classification improves model explanatory and predictive power. • Forest area size better explains value variation than total site area. • Hydropower-related FWS yield the highest economic value estimates. • PES schemes yield lower forested watershed service values than valuation approaches.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.053
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.118
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.053
Threshold uncertainty score0.281

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0530.118
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0040.020
Bibliometrics0.0060.007
Science and technology studies0.0000.002
Scholarly communication0.0040.003
Open science0.0020.003
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.011
GPT teacher head0.227
Teacher spread0.216 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations4
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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