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The Role of Phosphorus in Reducing the Impact of Climate Change in Agriculture

2025· preprint· W4416932307 on OpenAlexaff
Cynthia Grant

Bibliographic record

VenuePreprints.org · 2025
Typepreprint
Language
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicPhosphorus and nutrient management
Canadian institutionsResearch Manitoba
Fundersnot available
KeywordsGreenhouse gasClimate changeAgricultureFertilizerGlobal warmingNutrient managementGreenhouse effectPhosphorus

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Climate change driven by the accumulation of greenhouse gases (GHG) in the atmosphere is projected toincrease average global surface temperatures, influencing agricultural production and nutrient cycling. Phosphorus (P), a key nutrient for plant growth, can both contribute to and reduce the effects of climate change. Climate change and P management are interrelated, as climate change will influence optimal P management while P fertilizer can both help in ameliorating and adapting to climate change effects on agriculture and the environment and contribute to direct and indirect GHG emissions. Greenhouse gases are emitted during phosphate rock extraction, as well as during the production transport and application of P fertilizer. Emissions during production could be reduced by improving energy efficiency, using alternative, non-fossil energy sources, or possibly using emerging technologies for synthesis of the ammonia used in production. To reduce the amount of indirect greenhouse gas emissions linked to P manufacture, it is important to optimize the efficiency of P fertilizer as the less P that is mined, processed, transported and applied to the field per unit of agricultural production, the less risk there is of both GHG emissions and off-site transport. While production and transport of P fertilizer can contribute to climate change, efficient P management can reduce negative effects of climate change and may contribute to reductions in GHG emissions and to climate change adaptation. Optimal P management is needed to support carbon sequestration in soil, to allow plants to benefit from increasing CO2 concentrations, to reduce risk of indirect GHG emissions, to reduce P movement to water bodies and to enhance resiliency of crops to climate stress. Proper nutrient management, including P management, plays a key role in Climate Smart Agriculture, Low-Carbon Agriculture and Sustainable Intensification, that are different approaches to encouraging optimal crop productivity while minimizing the contribution of agriculture to climate change. Managing P fertilizer in a changing environment requires use of the 4R principles to select the rate, source, timing and placement combination best suited to the site-specific agronomic and environmental conditions.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Open science
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.056
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0030.009
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.037
GPT teacher head0.311
Teacher spread0.274 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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