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Field observations of ice melt and decay to constrain lake ice model parameterizations

2025· article· W4416937572 on OpenAlexaffabout
Arash Rafat, Christopher Spence, Homa Kheyrollah Pour

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Language
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicArctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
Canadian institutionsEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaWilfrid Laurier University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsField (mathematics)Sea iceCryosphereIce fieldPeriod (music)Ice caps

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Field measurements within ice covers during the melting period are scarce, often constrained by safety concerns leading to uncertainty in model parameterizations of ice melt. To address these limitations, a Floating Research Station (FRS) was constructed in a small subarctic lake near Yellowknife, Canada to monitor ice processes year-round. Using the FRS, the objective of this study was to delineate key processes influencing ice melt and decay through evaluating heat budget components over three melt seasons: April 1- May 31 of 2023, 2024, and 2025. Our results show that the decay process was both thermally and mechanically driven, with mechanical decay from ice collapse occurring at internal ice porosities of 0.31-0.35 and accounting for 24 - 48% of total ice loss. Thermal melt at the surface (0.6 - 2.1 cm d -1 ) was driven by surface heat absorption (13-160 W m -2 ) and losses via net longwave fluxes (-95.2 - -6.6 W m -2 ). Bottom melt (0.1- 0.6 cm d -1 ) was caused by modest mean daily water-to-ice heat fluxes (< 15 W m -2 ). Melt season lengths varied between 35-49 days, and break-up dates up to 16 days, and were dependent on air temperatures, albedo, and net insolation. Results from this study can be used to improve and constrain melt period parameterizations in ice models while providing needed validation and calibration data in northern, high-latitude environments.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.158
Threshold uncertainty score0.314

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.025
GPT teacher head0.245
Teacher spread0.220 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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