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Record W4417002713 · doi:10.1182/blood-2025-7363

Artificial intelligence‑driven virtual tumor board enhances precision care in myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS)

2025· article· en· W4417002713 on OpenAlexaff
David M. Swoboda, Amy E. DeZern, James T. England, Sangeetha Venugopal, Thomas J. Kehoe, Brandon J. Aubrey, Marco Gabriele Raddi, Angela Consagra, Jia-Sheng Wang, Gustavo Rivero, Maximilian Stahl, Amer M. Zeidan, Torsten Haferlach, Andrew M. Brunner, Rena Buckstein, Valeria Santini, Matteo Giovanni Della Porta, Mikkael A. Sekeres, Aziz Nazha

Bibliographic record

VenueBlood · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicAcute Myeloid Leukemia Research
Canadian institutionsHealth Sciences CentreSunnybrook Health Science Centre
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMyelodysplastic syndromesContext (archaeology)Clinical trialMultidisciplinary approachDomain (mathematical analysis)DiseaseClinical decision support systemClinical decision making

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Background and Aims Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) present significant diagnostic and therapeutic challenges, often requiring input from multidisciplinary teams and subspecialty-trained leukemia and pathology experts. The complexity is compounded by evolving classification systems (e.g., WHO and ICC) and an expanding therapeutic landscape, which complicate real-time clinical decision-making. Although large language models (LLMs) such as ChatGPT have demonstrated promise in medical domains, they frequently yield inaccurate or overly generalized responses when applied to complex hematologic scenarios. Even state-of-the-art models—capable of human-like reasoning and sometimes outperforming clinicians in general tasks—have not been systematically evaluated in the context of advanced hematologic disorders such as MDS. To address this gap, we first assessed the performance of leading LLMs, including ChatGPT, Claude, and DeepSeek, on challenging, real-world MDS cases. After identifying their limitations, we built the Virtual MDS Panel (VMP), a coordinated AI system in which AI agents—task-bound software assistants that understand natural language and help users complete tasks, answer questions, and make decisions efficiently—are trained on domain knowledge (WHO/ICC; IPSS-R/IPSS-M; NCCN) and explicit decision rules to collaborate and produce tumor-board–level recommendations. Methods VMP comprises four specialized AI agents: a moderator agent that receives clinical queries; a pathology agent trained on WHO/ICC criteria; a prognostication agent using risk models (IPSS, IPSS-R, IPSS-M) and a therapy agent grounded in NCCN and ELN guidelines. For each case, a physician submits a clinical scenario to the moderator, which breaks down the query and delegates sub-tasks to relevant agents. The moderator then synthesizes their responses into a structured output. To evaluate performance, we created a test set of 30 complex, real-world MDS cases. VMP responses were compared to those from leading LLMs (ChatGPT-4o, GPT-o3, Claude, DeepSeek). Eleven international MDS experts, blinded to response sources, independently scored outputs for accuracy, clinical relevance, and completeness (Likert scale 1–5). They also assessed diagnostic reasoning, prognostic validity, and treatment recommendations, while classifying factual errors as none, minor, or major. To evaluate the consistency of expert ratings, we used the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) to measure how well experts agreed on numerical scores and Cohen's κ (kappa) to assess their agreement when identifying errors. Results VMP achieved an overall expert-rated accuracy of 93%, outperforming GPT-o3 (82%), GPT-4o (80%), DeepSeek (71%), and Claude (66%). When examining each domain, the VMP overall scored highest 4.2 (mean on scale from 1-5 among all experts): Diagnosis 4.3, Prognosis 4.4 and therapy selection 3.9, compared to GPT-o3, at 3.6 overall, 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.6, GPT-4o (3.2 overall) 3.1 / 3.2 / 3.4, DeepSeek (3.0) 2.9 / 3.0 / 3.1, and Claude (2.9) 2.7 / 2.9 / 3.1, respectively. According to expert opinion, the VMP registered just 9% major factual errors compared to GPT-o3 26%, GPT-4o 26%, DeepSeek 33%, and Claude 36%. Minor factual errors were present at 36% in VMP vs 47-52% in the other 4 models. Experts showed strong agreement in their evaluations, with high consistency in scoring (ICC = 0.81) and in identifying AI errors or hallucinations (κ = 0.76), confirming the reliability of the review process.Conclusions We developed an advanced, MDS-focused AI system that increased accuracy and alignment with expert practice, outperforming current state-of-the-art general AI models. By emulating a virtual tumor board, the system offers structured, evidence-based guidance that can aid hematologists in optimizing their precision care.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.008
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.006
Threshold uncertainty score0.021

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.008
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0060.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.018
GPT teacher head0.309
Teacher spread0.291 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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