High-confidence structural predictions of extrachromosomal DNA with ecDNAInspector
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Extrachromosomal DNA (ecDNA) are circularized genomic elements that reside outside canonical chromosomes. ecDNA amplify oncogene copy number, enhance chromatin accessibility, and act as mobile enhancers through cis- and trans-regulatory interactions, collectively boosting oncogene expression. ecDNA has been implicated in tumor progression, intratumoral heterogeneity, and poor patient prognosis. Despite various lines of evidence that ecDNA promotes aggressive disease, the mechanisms and selective pressures leading to ecDNA formation and propagation remain poorly understood as are their structures. While several computational tools have been developed to infer ecDNA presence or absence from short read sequencing data, accurate identification of large or complex ecDNA structures remains challenging. Here we introduce ecDNAInspector, a novel computational framework to systematically assess the confidence of ecDNA predictions from existing inference tools. Leveraging abundant short-read whole genome sequencing (WGS) data from population-scale cohorts, we demonstrate that ecDNAInspector accurately identifies high-confidence ecDNA calls, improving interpretability and facilitating the association with clinical features. As an illustrative example, applied to a cohort of 250 breast cancers, ecDNAInspector identifies associations between ecDNA structure and molecular subgroups of disease. These findings are supported by orthogonal omic data and experimental characterization of ecDNA captured in representative cell lines. ecDNAInspector provides a scalable, data-driven approach to characterize ecDNA structure, enabling integrative studies of the clinical and biological impact of this non-mendelian mode of oncogene amplification and inheritance.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.018 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".