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Record W4417146886 · doi:10.1111/exsy.70180

Neural Networks for Space Debris Classification

2025· article· en· W4417146886 on OpenAlexafffund
Anne Adriano, Kuindersma Scott, Haroon Oqab, George B. Dietrich, Nasser L. Azad

Bibliographic record

VenueExpert Systems · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicSpace Satellite Systems and Control
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Waterloo
FundersAlliance de recherche numérique du CanadaOntario Centre of Innovation
KeywordsSpace debrisDebrisObject (grammar)Convolutional neural networkCollisionField (mathematics)Focus (optics)

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT Significant research in the field of space domain awareness (SDA) has focused on improving AI‐driven data processing and classification tasks. Previous studies have explored the classification of orbiting man‐made object types such as satellites, rocket bodies, and debris, yet there is a noticeable gap in the literature concerning the subclassification of debris shapes such as fragments and detached satellite components. This lack of focus on debris characterisation despite the growing urgency to study Earth‐orbiting debris could be attributed to the scarcity of labelled debris data. More importantly, debris shape plays a crucial role in collision risk assessment, reentry prediction, and active debris removal (ADR). In the absence of publicly available datasets with detailed shape information, this study establishes a baseline for debris sub‐classification, aiding in improved debris mitigation and collision avoidance efforts. To address these challenges, a light curve simulation framework was created to generate LEO debris light curves based on physical object parameters and initial conditions defined by historical two‐line elements (TLEs) of debris. The principal investigation involved debris shape classification using a long short‐term memory fully convolutional network (LSTM‐FCN). An ablation study was carried out to investigate the performance of the LSTM and FCN separately. In addition to debris shape, the light curves demonstrated a level of sensitivity to material type. This motivated a secondary study involving multi‐task learning (MTL), in which material classification was introduced to the original LSTM‐FCN. The results demonstrated that the MTL approach enhanced the model's generalisation for the shape classification task. A 2% improvement from the single‐task to the multi‐task model is considered notable, highlighting the benefits of MTL. Retrieving material and shape information indirectly informs classification tasks in SDA on the debris' sensitivity to both atmospheric drag and solar radiation pressure, which are key considerations in the study of debris motion and ADR. Future work will focus on incorporating irregular shapes into the dataset and exploring the impact of a larger dataset on classification performance.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.014
Threshold uncertainty score0.028

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.013
GPT teacher head0.240
Teacher spread0.227 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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