Mapping Four Decades of Treeline Ecotone Migration: Remote Sensing of Alpine Ecotone Shifts on the Eastern Slopes of the Canadian Rocky Mountains
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Alpine treeline ecotones (ATEs) are critical ecological boundaries that are highly sensitive to climate change, yet their long-term spatial dynamics remain understudied in mountainous regions. This study investigates four decades (1984–2023) of ATE elevational shift along the Eastern Slopes of the Canadian Rocky Mountains (ESCR) using the Alpine Treeline Ecotone Index (ATEI), developed by integrating NDVI gradients, elevation data, and logistic regression. Multi-temporal Landsat composites and Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) data were processed in Google Earth Engine (GEE) to map ATE boundaries over nine composite intervals. Results show a 13.32% increase in ATE area (from 1494.17 km2 to 1693.19 km2), indicating a general upslope expansion consistent with a warming climate and extended growing seasons. Although the Mann–Kendall test did not reveal a significant monotonic trend in area change (neither upward nor downward) (p-value > 0.05), notable spatial variability was observed (approximately 8 km2/year). North-facing aspects exhibited the greatest mean elevation gain (+40.21 m), and significant ecotonal changes occurred within the Bow and Athabasca watersheds (p < 0.05), which are equal to around 416 and 452 km2, respectively. These findings highlight the complex, aspect- and watershed-dependent nature of alpine vegetation responses to climate forcing and demonstrate the utility of ATEI for monitoring vegetation biodiversity shifts in high-elevation ecosystems.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".