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Diagnostic Accuracy of Severe Acute Respiratory Infection Definitions in Hospitalized Children

2025· article· en· W4417465698 on OpenAlexafffund
Leo Hersi, Tuana Kant, Caitlyn L. Kaziev, Daniel S. Farrar, Jessie Cunningham, Haifa Mtaweh, Sanjay Mahant, Shaun K. Morris, Peter Gill

Bibliographic record

VenueJAMA Network Open · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicRespiratory viral infections research
Canadian institutionsPublic Health OntarioHospital for Sick ChildrenUniversity of TorontoSickKids FoundationInstitute for Clinical Evaluative SciencesQueen's University
FundersCanadian Institutes of Health ResearchHospital for Sick ChildrenSanofiPublic Health AgencyPhysicians' Services Incorporated FoundationPublic Health Agency of CanadaPfizer
KeywordsDiagnostic accuracyRespiratory infectionDiseaseMEDLINEDiagnostic testRespiratory systemSensitivity (control systems)

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Importance: Following the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic, the World Health Organization (WHO) established a new case definition for severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) for viral surveillance. Several studies have suggested that SARI case definitions are inaccurate at detecting pediatric disease burden. Understanding the performance of SARI case definitions in children is important for pandemic preparedness. Objectives: To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of SARI case definitions in detecting microbiologically confirmed viral respiratory tract infections among hospitalized children. Data Sources: The MEDLINE(R), Embase Classic + Embase, Ovid EBM Reviews Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Elsevier SCOPUS, and the WHO Global Index Medicus databases were searched from inception to March 31, 2025. Study Selection: Study screening was conducted in duplicate by 2 independent reviewers. Any studies that assessed any SARI definition in hospitalized children were included. There were no restrictions by design, time period, or geographical location. Data Extraction and Synthesis: Data extraction using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses reporting guideline was conducted by 1 author using a predefined template and independently validated by a second author. Diagnostic accuracy was extracted as 2 × 2 tables from each study and pooled using a bivariate random-effects model. Quality assessments were conducted using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcomes were sensitivity and specificity. For each case definition-virus combination with at least 4 included studies, pooled estimates of sensitivity and specificity were calculated. Results: Of 1144 studies identified, 13 were included. Included studies represent surveillance data from 65 inpatient sites across 8 countries, using data from 2007 to 2023. The most common definition was the 2014 WHO SARI (9 studies). Viral pathogens included influenza (10 studies) and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV; 6 studies). Meta-analysis of the WHO 2014 SARI definition yielded a sensitivity of 75.7% (95% CI, 65.0%-83.9%; I2 = 89.2%) and specificity of 30.6% (95% CI, 19.8%-44.0%; I2 = 99.0%) for influenza (7 studies) and sensitivity of 70.6% (95% CI, 56.9%-81.9%; I2 = 98.8%) and specificity of 38.7% (95% CI, 25.7%-53.5%; I2 = 99.5%) for RSV (5 studies). In younger subgroups, sensitivity appeared to decrease while specificity appeared to increase for both influenza and RSV. Conclusions and Relevance: In this systematic review and meta-analysis of 13 studies, the WHO 2014 SARI definition demonstrated reduced sensitivity and increased specificity in younger pediatric cohorts, suggesting that surveillance systems that rely on SARI case definitions may potentially underestimate disease burden in children.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.096
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.356
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.096
Threshold uncertainty score0.510

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0960.356
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0100.014
Bibliometrics0.0140.008
Science and technology studies0.0010.002
Scholarly communication0.0050.004
Open science0.0040.003
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.048
GPT teacher head0.380
Teacher spread0.332 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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