Multi-Center Semi-Supervised Prediction of Lung Cancer Survival Outcomes Via Pseudolabeling of CT Images
Bibliographic record
Abstract
CT imaging is central to lung cancer management, offering detailed tumor visualization and quantitative data for AI-driven personalized care. In this work, we used radiomic features (RFs) and machine learning (ML) to predict overall survival (OS) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). A total of$1,218 \text{RFs}$were extracted from lung cancer CT images of 977 patients across 14 institutions using LoG and Wavelet filters with varying parameters. Lesions were segmented by three physicians and validated by an expert, with feature extraction standardized using PyRadiomics. Both supervised learning (SL) and semi-supervised learning (SSL) approaches were applied. In SL, 56 dimensionality reduction algorithms-including 27 feature selection (FSA) and 29 attribute extraction (AEA) algorithms-were paired with 29 traditional and advanced classifiers. These combinations were evaluated using 5 -fold cross-validation on the labeled data from one large center (of 417 in NSCLC-Radiomics), with 2 smaller centers (of 34 samples in NSCLC-Radiogenomics and \# of 48 samples in Lung CT-Diagnosis) used for external testing. In SSL, missing outcomes in 11 centers (of 478 samples) were predicted using logistic regression and incorporated into the training set per fold, while unlabeled cases were excluded from validation and external testing. SSL significantly outperformed SL in terms of accuracy, F1-score, and AUC, achieving improvements of up to 17% in OS prediction (paired t-test,$\mathbf{P}<0.01$). The best SSL model-using feature importance and XGBoost-achieved an average cross-validation accuracy of$\mathbf{0. 9 0} \boldsymbol{\pm} \mathbf{0. 0 1}$and an external test accuracy of$0.88 \pm 0.00$. In comparison, the top SL model, recursive feature elimination (RFE) and LightGBM, reached$0.78 \pm 0.02$in cross-validation and$0.87 \pm 0.01$on the external test. These findings highlight SSL's strength in improving NSCLC survival prediction, especially with limited labels, and show the value of multi-center CT RF integration.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".