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Record W4417482963 · doi:10.1111/ssqu.70089

Revisiting Racial Disparities in NBA Career Longevity

2025· article· en· W4417482963 on OpenAlexaff
Roger Pizarro Milian

Bibliographic record

VenueSocial Science Quarterly · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldPsychology
TopicSport Psychology and Performance
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsLongevityBasketballRace (biology)Regression analysisInequalityStatistical discrimination

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT Objective This study re‐examines racial disparities in career longevity among players in the National Basketball Association (NBA). Studies of this topic have thus far produced mixed results. Methods This study examines a rich dataset containing demographic and performance data for all NBA draft picks over more than two decades (1980–2005). It employs multiple regression techniques, including Ordinary Least Squares, quantile, Poisson, and Negative Binomial regression, and performs sub‐sample analyses on various groups of interest. Results The statistical models produce evidence that non‐Black players have NBA careers that are roughly 0.75 seasons longer, net of a long list of theoretically relevant controls. This finding is consistent with studies noting the long‐term decline of racial disparities in the association. Conclusion Race remains an important, though modest, factor that differentiates career outcomes in the NBA. Richer data sources are required to better understand the dynamics that shape career longevity and involuntary exits more broadly.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.413
Threshold uncertainty score0.573

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.022
GPT teacher head0.365
Teacher spread0.343 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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