Predictors of Serious Complications Associated with Lower Gastrointestinal Endoscopy in a Major City-Wide Health Region
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: There are limited data regarding complications associated with colonoscopy and flexible sigmoidoscopy in usual clinical practice in Canada. OBJECTIVE: To determine the risk factors for lower gastrointestinal (GI) endoscopy-associated complications in usual clinical practice. METHODS: All outpatient lower GI endoscopies performed in Winnipeg (Manitoba) between April 1, 2004 and March 31, 2006, were identified from the provincial physicians' claims database. All subsequent hospital admissions within 30 days that documented potential complications associated with lower GI endoscopies were identified from the electronic hospital discharges database and reviewed. Multivariate generalized estimating equation regression analysis was performed to determine independent factors (patient, endoscopist and procedure) associated with the risk of developing complications. RESULTS: There were 29,990 outpatient lower GI endoscopies performed in Winnipeg during the years studied. Seventy-seven (0.26%) procedures were associated with complications requiring hospitalization within 30 days of the index procedure. Stricture dilation (rate ratio [RR] 23.14; 95% CI 6.70 to 76.51), polypectomy (RR 5.93; 95% CI 3.66 to 9.62), increasing patient age (for each year increase in age, RR 1.03; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.05) and performance of endoscopy by low-volume endoscopists (fewer than 200 procedures per year, RR 2.28; 95% CI 1.18 to 4.42) and family physicians (RR 2.23; 95% CI 1.39 to 3.58) were independently associated with complications. CONCLUSIONS: The results of the present study suggest that increasing patient age, complex procedures and performance of the index procedure by low-volume endoscopists are independent risk factors for lower GI endoscopy-associated complications in usual clinical practice. This suggests that it may be time to consider implementing minimum volume requirements for endoscopists performing non-screening lower GI endoscopies.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".