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Record W577530444 · doi:10.3141/2514-06

Simulated Traffic Conflicts

2015· article· en· W577530444 on OpenAlexaffabout
Mohamed Essa, Tarek Sayed

Bibliographic record

VenueTransportation Research Record Journal of the Transportation Research Board · 2015
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicTraffic and Road Safety
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
Fundersnot available
KeywordsVisSimMicrosimulationIntersection (aeronautics)Traffic simulationCalibrationTraffic conflictSensitivity (control systems)Field (mathematics)Computer scienceCollisionSimulationMatching (statistics)Transport engineeringEngineeringStatisticsTraffic congestionMathematicsComputer security

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Recently, there has been growing interest in using microsimulation models to assess the safety of road facilities by analyzing vehicle trajectories and estimating conflict indicators. Using microsimulation models in safety studies can have several advantages, although concerns have been raised about the ability of these models to represent unsafe vehicle interactions and near misses realistically as well as their need for rigorous calibration. The main objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between field-measured and simulated conflicts at an urban signalized intersection in Surrey, British Columbia, Canada. Sixty hours of recorded traffic data were collected in 2 days and used in the conflict analysis. Automated video-based computer vision techniques were used to extract vehicle trajectories and identify conflicts on all four approaches to the intersection. Conflict measures (e.g., time to collision) and location were determined and compared with simulated conflicts from a microscopic simulation model (VISSIM) using the Surrogate Safety Assessment Model (SSAM). A two-step calibration procedure was proposed to enhance correlation between simulated and field-measured conflicts. The first calibration step was matching actual field conditions (desired speed and arrival type) to ensure that VISSIM gives real average delay values. The second step was the use of sensitivity analysis followed by a genetic algorithm procedure to calibrate the VISSIM parameters that had the biggest effect on the simulated conflicts. Finally, conflict heat maps were provided to compare field-measured with simulated conflict locations. The results highlighted the importance of model calibration and identified several limitations of the SSAM.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.061
Threshold uncertainty score0.122

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.116
GPT teacher head0.363
Teacher spread0.247 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations91
Published2015
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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