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Record W609678859

CAUTION REIGNS IN CARGO MARKET

2002· article· en· W609678859 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Geoff Hearn

Bibliographic record

VenueAircraft economics · 2002
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicAviation Industry Analysis and Trends
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsRecessionQuarter (Canadian coin)Air cargoSubtitleGlobal recessionSlowdownState (computer science)BusinessEngineeringAeronauticsInternational tradeEconomicsTransport engineeringKeynesian economicsEconomic growthGeography
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

SUBTITLE: RECENT HISTORY HAS NOT GIVEN MUCH CAUSE FOR OPTIMISM FOR FREIGHT OPERATORS OR THE SUPPLIERS OF CARGO AIRCRAFT. THE WORLD AIR CARGO INDUSTRY HAD BEEN IN A STATE OF RECESSION EVEN BEFORE SEPTEMBER 11, 2001. THE RECESSION, WHICH IS THE WORST THE AIR CARGO INDUSTRY HAS SEEN SINCE 1970, IS ATTRIBUTABLE LARGELY TO THE OVERALL US SLOWDOWN WHICH BEGAN IN THE FIRST QUARTER OF 2001. GEOFF HEARN LOOKS AT THE STATE OF THE CARGO MARKET AND EVALUATES THE BENEFITS OF NEW FREIGHTERS COMPARED WITH CONVERTED AIRCRAFT.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.532
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0080.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.044
GPT teacher head0.196
Teacher spread0.152 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2002
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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