Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
<div> As climate warming exacerbates wildfire risks, prompt wildfire detection is an essential step in designing an efficient suppression strategy, monitoring wildfire behavior and, when necessary, issuing evacuation orders. In this context, there is increasing demand for estimates of returns on wildfire investments and their potential for cost savings. Using fire-level data from Western Canada during 2015–2020, the paper associates variation in wildfire reporting delays with variation in suppression costs. We use machine learning and orthogonalization methods to isolate the impact of reporting delays from nonlinear impacts of the fire environment. We find that reporting delays account for only three percent of total suppression costs. Efforts to improve detection and reduce wildfire reporting delays by one hour lead to a modest 0.25% reduction in suppression costs. These results suggest that investments in detection systems that reduce wildfire reporting delays are not justified on suppression costs savings alone. </div>
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.720 | 0.186 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it