Monitoring recent changes in the Beaufort Sea coast using very high resolution remote sensing
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Arctic permafrost coasts are major carbon (Schuur et al., 2015) and mercury pools (Schuster et al., 2018). They represent about 34% of the Earth’s coastline, with long sections affected by high erosion rates (Fritz et al, 2017), increasingly threatening coastal communities. Year-round reduction in Arctic sea ice is forecasted and by the end of the 21st century, models indicate a decrease in sea ice area from 43 to 94% in September and from 8 to 34% in February (IPCC, 2014). An increase of the sea-ice free season leads to a longer exposure of coasts to wave action. Further, climate warming is also expected to modify the contribution of terrestrial erosion (Fritz et al., 2015, Ramage et al., 2018, Irrgang et al., 2018). Within the project EU Horizon2020 project NUNATARYUK, we are updating the mapping of the Arctic coast, with the Canadian Beaufort coast as a case-study. The surveying methodology includes: i. a high resolution update of the coastline mapping and change rates using Pleiades (CNES) satellite acquisitions from 2018, ii. a survey using RTK-UAV aerial imagery of long-term monitoring sites from the Canada-US border to King Point, and iii. the experimental use of TerraSAR-X staring spotlight scenes and PAZ at key sites to monitor intraseasonal dynamics of cliff edge retreat. This research is funded by the EC H2020 Project NUNATARYUK. Support on remote sensing imagery access by the WMO Polar Space Task Group.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".