Diagnostic Accuracy of Detecting Diabetic Retinopathy by Using Digital Fundus Photographs in the Peripheral Health Facilities of Bangladesh: Validation Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background Diabetic retinopathy can cause blindness even in the absence of symptoms. Although routine eye screening remains the mainstay of diabetic retinopathy treatment and it can prevent 95% of blindness, this screening is not available in many low- and middle-income countries even though these countries contribute to 75% of the global diabetic retinopathy burden. Objective The aim of this study was to assess the diagnostic accuracy of diabetic retinopathy screening done by non-ophthalmologists using 2 different digital fundus cameras and to assess the risk factors for the occurrence of diabetic retinopathy. Methods This validation study was conducted in 6 peripheral health facilities in Bangladesh from July 2017 to June 2018. A double-blinded diagnostic approach was used to test the accuracy of the diabetic retinopathy screening done by non-ophthalmologists against the gold standard diagnosis by ophthalmology-trained eye consultants. Retinal images were taken by using either a desk-based camera or a hand-held camera following pupil dilatation. Test accuracy was assessed using measures of sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values. Overall agreement with the gold standard test was reported using the Cohen kappa statistic (κ) and area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC). Risk factors for diabetic retinopathy occurrence were assessed using binary logistic regression. Results In 1455 patients with diabetes, the overall sensitivity to detect any form of diabetic retinopathy by non-ophthalmologists was 86.6% (483/558, 95% CI 83.5%-89.3%) and the specificity was 78.6% (705/897, 95% CI 75.8%-81.2%). The accuracy of the correct classification was excellent with a desk-based camera (AUROC 0.901, 95% CI 0.88-0.92) and fair with a hand-held camera (AUROC 0.710, 95% CI 0.67-0.74). Out of the 3 non-ophthalmologist categories, registered nurses and paramedics had strong agreement with kappa values of 0.70 and 0.85 in the diabetic retinopathy assessment, respectively, whereas the nonclinical trained staff had weak agreement (κ=0.35). The odds of having retinopathy increased with the duration of diabetes measured in 5-year intervals (P<.001); the odds of having retinopathy in patients with diabetes for 5-10 years (odds ratio [OR] 1.81, 95% CI 1.37-2.41) and more than 10 years (OR 3.88, 95% CI 2.91-5.15) were greater than that in patients with diabetes for less than 5 years. Obesity was found to have a negative association (P=.04) with diabetic retinopathy. Conclusions Digital fundus photography is an effective screening tool with acceptable diagnostic accuracy. Our findings suggest that diabetic retinopathy screening can be accurately performed by health care personnel other than eye consultants. People with more than 5 years of diabetes should receive priority in any community-level retinopathy screening program. In a country like Bangladesh where no diabetic retinopathy screening services exist, the use of hand-held cameras can be considered as a cost-effective option for potential system-wide implementation.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".