Creation of data visualization using descriptive analysis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This notebook facilitates the construction of employment outcome measures to support longitudinal analysis of a TANF-enrolled cohort in Arkansas. Building on the analytic frame developed in previous notebooks, this module integrates Unemployment Insurance (UI) wage records to track post-exit employment experiences. It introduces key person-level measures—such as employment rates in the 2nd and 4th quarters after exit, and median earnings in the 2nd quarter after exit—aligned with requirements from the 2023 Fiscal Responsibility Act. These metrics, similar to WIOA-based standards, allow for meaningful comparisons across subgroups within the cohort. This notebook was developed for the Arkansas Applied Data Analytics 2023 Class, facilitated by the ARData team in partnership with the State of Arkansas and the National Association of State Workforce Agencies, and hosted by the Coleridge Initiative.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.006 | 0.031 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.006 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.129 | 0.028 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".