ARC-C: Analytical Framework and Software Tool for Automated Risk-Based Cryptoperiod Calculation in Industrial Control Systems
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Over the past decade, industrial control systems (ICSs) and critical infrastructure (CI) have become prime targets for advanced persistent threat (APT) groups and nation-state actors due to their potential for severe impact. This has resulted in the cybersecurity community increasing their focus on ICS/CI threat modelling and defence. This thesis examines the crucial role of the internal network reconnaissance stage of ICS/CI attacks, particularly those using the OPC UA standard with encrypted in-transit data. We first introduce a comprehensive attack tree outlining data siphoning strategies and highlight the importance of periodic encryption-key rotation to mitigate risk. Noting the lack of clear cryptoperiod guidelines in industry standards, we then present the Automatic Risk-based Cryptoperiod Calculation (ARC-C) framework. ARC-C aims to optimally determine cryptoperiod lengths based on security risks and operational constraints. We demonstrate its application in two realistic ICS environments: a Water Treatment Plant and an Energy Storage System.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.015 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".