Demokratikleşme ve ekonomik kalkınma arasındaki ilişki: hâkim parti etkisi
Bibliographic record
Abstract
GENEL BİLGİLER \n \nİsim ve Soyadı\t\t\t: Mehmet MUŞ \nAnabilim Dalı \t\t\t: İktisat \nProgramı \t\t\t\t: İktisat Tarihi \nTez Danışmanı \t\t\t: Prof. Dr. Gülfettin ÇELİK \nTez Türü ve Tarihi \t\t\t: Doktora - Şubat 2014 \nAnahtar Kelimeler\t\t\t: Demokrasi, Demokratikleşme, Ekonomik Kalkınma, Hakim Parti \n \nDEMOKRATİKLEŞME VE EKONOMİK KALKINMA ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: \nHAKİM PARTİ ETKİSİ \n1973 yılı petrol krizi sonrası liberal ekonomik anlayışın ekonomik karar alacılar ve ekonomi politikaları üzerindeki etkisinin artması ile birlikte liberal yönü ile demokrasi, politik istikrar ve ekonomik kalkınma arasındaki ilişkiler tartışılagelmiştir. Demokratikleşme ve ekonomik kalkınmanın birbirlerini nasıl tetiklediği ve demokrasi özelinde politik istikrar ve istikrarsızlıkların ekonomik gelişmeleri nasıl etkilediği yönünde pek çok çalışma yapılmıştır. \nBu amaçla, bu çalışmamızda demokrasilerde politik istikrarın en güçlü formu olarak tanımladığımız ve Türkiye’nin de gündemine yeni yeni giren “Hakim Parti” kavramının, küresel siyasetteki 6 örneğinin (Japonya Liberal Demokratik Partisi, İsveç Sosyal Demokrat Partisi, Malezya Birleşik Malay Ulusal Örgütü, İngiltere Muhafazakar Partisi, Kanada Liberal Partisi, Güney Afrika Ulusal Kongresi) demokratik gelişim ve ekonomik kalkınma performanslarının nasıl olduğu gerçeğinden hareketle Türkiye’nin olası geleceği için bir çıkarımda bulunulmaya çalışılmıştır. \nÇalışmanın sonunda, politik istikrarın ekonomik kalkınmada pozitif bir unsur olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Ayrıca, küresel siyasetteki 6 hakim parti örneğinde, ülkelerin ekonomik performanslarının ilgili ekonomik gruplara (dünya, gelir seviyesi, coğrafi) göre daha iyi olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Türkiye özelinde ise, politik istikrarın ve hatta uzun dönemli politik istikrar dönemlerinin ekonomik performanslarının daha iyi gerçekleştiği görülmüştür. Küresel siyasetteki 6 hakim parti örneği ve Türkiye özelinde politik istikrar dönemlerindeki ekonomik performanslar göz önüne alındığında, hakim partili dönemlerin Türkiye ekonomisi için olumlu sonuçlar doğurabileceği söylenebilir. \n \nGENERAL KNOWLEDGE \n \nName and Surname\t\t\t: Mehmet MUŞ \nField \t\t\t\t\t: Economics \nProgramme\t\t\t\t: Economic History \nSupervisor \t\t\t\t: Prof. Dr. Gülfettin ÇELİK \nDegree Awarded and Date\t\t: Doctorate – February 2014 \nKeywors \t\t\t\t: Democracy, Democratization, Economic Development, Dominant Party. \n \nABSTRACT \nTHE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN DEMOCRATIZATION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT : DOMINANT PARTY EFFECT \nAfter the oil crisis in 1973, along with increasing effect of liberal economic understanding on economic decision-makers and economic policy, the relationships between democracy with the direction of liberal, political stability and economic development have been disputed. Many studies have been made about how democratization and economic development triggered each other and how much political stability and instability in democracy have affected economic developments. \nFor this purpose, in this study, based on the fact that how democratic developments and economic development performance of six samples (Liberal Democratic Party of Japan, the Swedish Social Democratic Party, Malaysian United Malays National Organisation, the UK Conservative Party, the Liberal Party of Canada, the National Congress of South Africa) in global politics of “Dominant Party” notion which are defined as the most powerful form of political stability in democracy have been analyzed and inferences related to this notion about Turkey’s potential future also have been studied. \n At the end of the study, political stability has been found to be a positive factor on economic development. Also, in the case of six dominant party in global politics, economic performance of the countries has been found to be better than related economic groups (world, income level, geographic). In the case of Turkey, the period of political stability and even long-term political stability have better economic performance, comparing to other periods. It can be said that the periods of dominant party have positive results for Turkey’s economy, considering six dominant party samples in global politics and in the case of Turkey, economic performances in the periods of political stability.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.037 | 0.004 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".