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Record W6989720557

Businesses take stock as uncertainty goes on

2019· article· en· W6989720557 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueInsight (University of Cumbria) · 2019
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicRegional resilience and development
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsQuarter (Canadian coin)Stock (firearms)HarmCertaintyManufacturing
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In his monthly column, Professor Frank Peck, of the University of Cumbria's Centre for Regional Economic Development, looks at how growth has been boosted by firms stockpiling ahead of the original Brexit date in March and how that may harm longer term productivity.
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\nAs we enter June, the one certainty faced by business is the reality of continued political uncertainty regarding the UK’s future relationship with Europe. It is now clear that many businesses have developed strategies to manage the risks and we have seen evidence of this in the first quarter of 2019. Growth figures for January to March, announced in May, showed that the economy grew by 1.8 per cent compared to the same quarter in the previous year, its fastest rate of growth since quarter three of 2017. Closer inspection of this data shows manufacturing output, in particular, up by 2.2 per cent on the previous quarter compared with much slower growth in services of only 0.3 per cent. This stronger performance in manufacturing has been attributed in part to the effects of contingency plans of manufacturing companies leading up to the end of March 2019.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.813
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.003

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.028
GPT teacher head0.193
Teacher spread0.164 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it