Monitoring Parameter Change in Autocorrelated Logistic Regression
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Monitoring changes in health care performances, financial markets, and industrial processes has recently gained momentum due to increased capability of computers and the availability of real-time data collection and storage software. As a consequence, there has been a growing demand in developing statistically rigorous methodologies for monitoring and change-point detection. In many practical situations, the data being monitored for the purpose of detecting changes, present serial correlations. Hussein (2011) is currently working on a new statistical procedure for monitoring changes in the coefficients of logistic regression model with AR( p)-type structure. The objective of this thesis is (a) to use Monte Carlo experiments to evaluate the average stopping times, probability of false alarm, and power of the proposed procedure; (b) to illustrate the usefulness of the method by using an IBM stock transactions data as well as data on rainfall.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.021 | 0.116 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".